Wednesday, March 14, 2007

Game preview #2: Boston College vs. Texas Tech

(7) Boston College -3 vs. (10) Texas Tech (O/U: 136.5)

The public definitely loves BC in this one and Vegas has already shifted the line accordingly. What's not to love about fading Texas Tech? They played a tough schedule in the Big-12, but didn't come up with many big wins. They were annihilated on a neutral court by Kansas State in the Big-12 quarterfinals. Many people consider them one of the weakest at-large choices. And, of course, first round flame-outs have become a Bobby Knight staple in the past decade (though to be fair, he did lead the Red Raiders to the Sweet 16 two years ago).

This is essentially a match-up of Jarius Jackson and Jared Dudley. Let no one fool you, these are "one man" teams. And both teams looked really tired at the end of the season, as if they peaked too early and ran out of gas. It's hard to imagine Tech, who will stubbornly stick to the man-to-man (or the "mandaman" as Gus Johnson would call it) will have an answer for Dudley. BC may have a trick up its sleeve however in PG Tyrese Rice, who improved greatly as the season progressed and could make Jarius Jackson work on the defensive end, somewhat neutralizing his offensive output.

The play to make: This is going to be an ugly game. Probably the ugliest game of the 1st round in the 6-11, 7-10, 8-9 match-ups. Typically in these types of games, you take the points and hope for the best, but in this situtation, I'm not sure why you'd pass up Boston College -3. I don't consider this a strong play at all, especially because the public likes BC to cover. As for the total, the Under might be a sneaky play, the 136.5 seems like a low number and the public is taking the Over, but this one should be pretty ugly and I think the Under might be the play to make if you're making a play in this game (which I don't recommend doing. I also don't recommend watching this game or caring about this game).

Who to take based on which mascot would win in a fight: BC's Eagle is pretty formidable, but Tech's Raider Red looks like Yosemite Sam, complete with the guns. Would the Eagle out-smart him by wearing a dress and lipstick? And if the Red Raider and Bobby Knight went eagle hunting together, would Knight "accidentally" shoot Red, Dick Cheney-style? Edge: even.

Who Suzy from accounting is taking: Bobby Knight definitely has bad-boy appeal, but the allure of the big city Boston and its Irish Catholic boys is too much. Edge: Boston College

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