Monday, April 2, 2007

Handicapping the NCAA Title Game

It's been a strange tournament to handicap so far, with favorites winning and covering at an incredible clip.

The public went 50/50 on Saturday with Florida covering, but Georgetown coming up short. With the large amount of money pouring into Vegas on Florida -4.5, it seems like very few people are giving Ohio State much of a chance to win this thing. Most of the major national media outlets and talking heads are picking the Gators to win.


Which does seem suspiciously like the direct inverse of the BCS Championship game in January.


I made a lot of money on Florida on that fateful day, but I'm not nearly as confident with Ohio State in this contest. That being said, I'll be taking a small chance on the Ohio State +200 money line. Win or lose, it was a rough college basketball season, capped by a rough March Madness and it's time to start concentrating again on NBA betting.

There's not much to lose in making this bet. If Ohio State doesn't win, they weren't supposed to win anyway, and I just lose a little bit of money. If Ohio State does win, I don't win much, but at least I get to run around saying "I told you so."


Also, as evidenced by the above picture, Joakim Noah looks like a 7-foot tranny. Precisely the kind of person I feel it's my duty as an American to bet against. This is our country.

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